RESULTS of the exit poll conducted by the Social Weather Stations for TV 5 correctly predicted the winners in the presidential and vice presidential elections, differing only from the June 8 official tally by the National Board of Canvassers by an average of less than 1 percent—0.4 percent to be exact.
The exit poll’s final result of 43.34 percent for Sen. Benigno Aquino III is only 1.25 percent larger than the final and official score of 42.08 percent, while its final score of 26.38 percent for former president Joseph Estrada is only 0.12 percent larger than the actual score of 26.25 percent.
This means the exit polls slightly oversestimated Aquino’s lead over Estrada by 1.13 percent compared to the actual Aquino-Estrada lead of 15.83 percent.
For vice president, the exit poll showed Makati Mayor Jejomar Binay garnering 42.52 percent of the votes, only 0.87 percent larger than the actual score of 41.65 percent. Its final score of 39.17 percent for Sen. Manuel Roxas II is only 0.41 percent smaller than the actual score of 39.58 percent.
The SWS overestimated Binay’s lead by 1.28 percent. His actual lead was 2.07 percent.
A total of 52,573 voters from 802 sampled voting centers were polled.
