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Marcos unsure he has numbers in Senate for Duterte impeachment

Why did BBM ask lawmakers not to push through with impeachment complaint against Vice President Sara Duterte? My guess is, Marcos is not sure if he has the numbers in the Senate to convict Duterte in an impeachment trial. Malacañang cannot afford to lose because impeachment rules allow only one impeachment proceedings against the same official within one year.

By Ellen Tordesillas

Dec 2, 2024

4-minute read

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What’s the game our top political leaders are playing on us?

President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. confirmed on Friday that he had sent a “private communication” to members of the House of Representatives to “not file impeachment complaints” against Vice President Sara Duterte.

Earlier in the day, the vice president didn’t show up at the National Bureau of Investigation which subpoenaed her for her public disclosure that she has hired a killer to assassinate the president, First Lady Liza Araneta-Marcos and House Speaker Martin Romualdez if she were killed.

The concerned government agencies’ quick moves to investigate was prompted by Malacañang’s worried reaction. Marcos found it “alarming” and said, “Yang ganyang kriminal na pagtatangka ay hindi dapat pinapalampas.‘Yan ay aking papalagan.”

(That kind of criminal threat should not be ignored. I will fight it.)

His Executive Secretary Lucas Bersamin labeled it “an active threat.”

Impeachment gains momentum

The efforts to file an impeachment complaint against Duterte has been gaining momentum as hearings of the House quad committee (probing the interlocking issues against illegal drugs, online gaming operations, human rights violations and extra judicial killings) and the Committee on Good Government and Public Accountability expose her warped thinking and blatant disregard of the law in the handling of government funds.

She had a meltdown when her Chief of Staff Zuleika Lopez was cited in contempt and detained at the House detention center for refusing to answer truthfully questions by lawmakers on the letter she sent to the Commission on Audit, telling the agency to not give the committees  documents they were requesting. Antipolo Rep. Romeo Acop was being kind when he described Duterte’s actions as “a character flaw.”

It was in that  after-midnight Zoom conference with some media men and pro-Duterte vloggers that the vice president made the infamous assassination threat: May kinausap na ako na tao, sinabi ko sa kanya, kapag pinatay ako patayin mo si BB, si Liza Araneta at si Martin Romualdez. No joke. No joke. Nagbilin na ako, ma’am, ‘pag namatay ako, sabi ko, ‘wag ka tumigil, ha, hanggang hindi mo napatay sila. And then he said ‘yes’.

A Facebook post pointed out the senselessness of that threat:” Kung ako  yung assassin na kausap ni Sara, gagawin ko pa ba ang pinapagawa n’ya kung patay na siya? Una, sino ang magbabayad sa akin kung patay na siya? At kung patay na siya pero bayad naman ako, bakit ko pa gagawin ang pinapatrabaho niya?”

(If I were the assassin that Sara hired, would I still do what she had asked me to do if she were already dead? Who would pay me since she was already dead? And if she was already dead but I had been paid, why would I still do what she had asked me to do?)

Scary

It was actually scary when you realize that the person acting unhinged is a breath away from the presidency.

The Constitution states that, “In case of death, permanent disability, removal from office, or resignation of the President, the Vice-President shall become the President to serve the unexpired term.”

The nasty prospect of having an unstable personality ruling the country overshadows whether one likes or dislikes President Marcos.

Marcos’ “halt impeachment” message

The president’s admission that he texted members of Congress to refrain from filing an impeachment complaint against Duterte dishonors the principle of the separation of powers among the three branches of government: executive, legislative and judiciary.

Marcos, however, is not alone in this as the public has witnessed the same efforts by past presidents to control Congress.

Many, however, were confused by Marcos changing tune in a span of four days. From a hardline tone of “Yang ganyang krimimal na pagtatangka ay hindi dapat pinapalampas” he went soft to “What will happen if somebody files an impeachment? It will tie down the House, it will tie down the Senate. It will just take up all our time and for what? For nothing, for nothing. None of this will help improve a single Filipino life.”

What happened? What’s going on?

My guess is, Marcos is not sure if he has the numbers in the Senate to convict Duterte in an impeachment trial.

He can count on his cousin, Romualdez, to deliver the impeachment charge but it is the Senate as an impeachment court that will try Duterte, who can block a conviction with eight votes.

Malacañang cannot afford to lose because impeachment rules allow only one impeachment proceedings against the same official within one year.

The May 2025 midterm elections present Marcos an opportunity to improve the composition of the Senate to his favor against the Dutertes.

Expect the political battle to be more intense after next year’s elections.

The views in this column are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of VERA Files.

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